Aw, rats! Now y'all are jinxing it!

 

New update. The rain that was predicted for Fri is now moved back to Sat. Let's hope they keep moving that rain back!

Wed
May 03 Mostly Sunny Thu
May 04 Mostly Sunny Fri
May 05 Partly Cloudy Sat
May 06 Showers

 

If you go to www.tailofthedragon.com, you will see that there are large auto enthusiast groups meeting at the Dragon all year long... this is probably the best weekend to stake our claim to... I'd bet that the first weekend in May will always be MOTD from now on.

Suck it up! Buy a sweater and get motoring!

 

Actually it’s the first full weekend in May every year and it is the best time to be going. The area is just coming to life after winter. Tapoco Lodge opens only a week or two before we get there, though I’ve been told they may be open year round now.

You don’t have as many tourists and bikers as you will in the summer and fall and the police have always been very nice in the spring and very low key.

 

we also get the off-season rates for our cabins/rooms...the season officially starts in the middle of May

 

Wow! Better than the so-called paradise where I am right now!

 

Lookin better every day

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/forecast...day=6&metric=0

See you on The Dragon!
Mike

 

While Accuweather's forecast is sans rain but it's definitely alot colder than weather.com's forecast!

Wed
May 03 Partly Cloudy Thu
May 04 Partly Cloudy Fri
May 05 Scattered T-Storms Sat
May 06 Scattered Showers Sun
May 07 Sunny

 

cold??? that's a heatwave for me!

 

no kidding... looks like t-shirts and jeans weather to me..

 

Wed
May 3
Partly Cloudy73°/46°20% 9 Very High
Thu
May 4
Partly Cloudy79°/54°20% 9 Very High
Fri
May 5
Scattered T-Storms72°/50°40% 9 Very High
Sat
May 6
Scattered Showers76°/49°60% 9 Very High
Sun
May 7
Sunny72°/50°10% 9 Very High


Here is the weather.com forecast for Fontana Dam, NC...

Be sure to bring rain gear. Weather.com generally gets their extended forecast wrong here in Dallas, so you might want to bring sunscreen as well!

 

Well with 350+ MINIs around, it won't take long to dry the track...

 

When I was up there last week, it was dry and sunny at the Crossroads of Time and had been raining off and on at the Tennessee end. So I'm coming prepared for all contingincies!
Annette

 

According to our Tivo weather report for Fontana Dam, NC the weather for Tues- High 74 Low 71 with some rain. Wed- High 80, Low 50 Sunny, Thurs High 79, Low 53 Sunny!!! That is all I have so far!! Looks GOOD

 

Sure, rub it in that you live so close and can go anytime you want

 

I sure hope the changing weather report changes to dry and warm! Sat is not looking good.
From Weather.com of Fontana Dam, NC 28733.

Wed May 03 Sunny 79°/54° 20%

Thu May 04 Scattered T-Storms 78°/54° 30%

Fri May 05 Scattered T-Storms 74°/50° 40%

Sat May 06 Showers 69°/43° 60%

Sun May 07 Mostly Sunny 71°/45° 0%

 

I vote for dry and chili (at least by Florida standards)

 

I represent that remark...

In reality, don't believe (seriously) anything more than five days ahead - and there is no good reason that you can't be right up to 72 hours (3 days).

[rant]
If you can't forecast three days, there is a sinister reason behind it, or you can't really forecast. (And simply broadcasting a chart or a set of models isn't forecasting, it's broadcasting....)
[/rant]

That being said, I'll post a "real" forecast on Monday night from work, even though I can't go this year do to work "conning" me out of the trip. (Better have fun in my spot Obe!)

Doug

 

No offense intended, WxSquid!

My 10 day forecast is always 40% chance of precipitation. If it doesn't rain, well I told you it probably wouldn't, and if it does, I said there was a good chance it might!

I sure do hope we have good weather. A few storms are ok with me as long as we are not socked in. . .

 

No offense taken, but keep in mind that the "big" weather sites (weather.com, accuweather, intellicast) don't look in the weeds.

Use your local NWS office (www.weather.gov, then click on the rough location that you want - it will take you to the office that serves that area, then click on that's office's map for a local forecast that will do better than anything else you'll find for free ...)

Right now, I took a look at the models, read the reports, analyzed the the sat pictures... (yep, everything I've done for 17+ years in the Navy) and it looks like a chance of rain on Thurs/Sat/Sun. Showers, with a chance of afternoon thunder on the western side of the "hills". Yep, inital look at the 7 day point is just that - I'll update this thread daily with a tailored forecast.

How's that sound?

 

I have a hard time trusting weather.com in Dallas any more than 3 days out and I'm sure that the local forecasts are better, but weather.com does a fair job a few days away

I'm looking forward to the daily from someone who knows this area... Thanks Squid!

Here is their Sunday morning report.

Wed - May 3
Sunny79°/54°20% 9 Very High

Thu May 4
Scattered T-Storms78°/54°30%

Fri May 5
Scattered T-Storms74°/50°40%

Sat May 6
Showers69°/43°40%

Sun May 7
Partly Cloudy71°/45°20%

 

that's a tiny bit better.. :\

 

Monday morning's forecast:


Wed May 3
Partly Cloudy80°/53°20%

Thu May 4
Scattered T-Storms77°/55°30%

Fri May 5
Scattered T-Storms70°/50°40%

Sat May 6
Few Showers69°/43°30%

Sun May 7
Sunny74°/46°20%

 

I hate to give up hope.. but its not looking promising. On the upside, if its already wet and rainy, I won't feel obligated to wash Grimace every single day.

 

It still looks like the forecast is for intermittent showers only . The roads dry up pretty quickly in most areas and you can just take it a little easy when wet.

As long as it is not raining constantly, we'll be fine and we'll have fun no matter what happens!